Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.155431 0.177166 0.201376 0.230435 0.264491 0.303288 0.351040
2025-11-30 0.122361 0.151507 0.187278 0.234835 0.297048 0.376553 0.487284
2025-12-07 0.100194 0.131383 0.172356 0.230989 0.314172 0.430160 0.608111
2025-12-14 0.086867 0.119192 0.164027 0.232141 0.335502 0.490682 0.749649
2025-12-21 0.076689 0.109243 0.156481 0.231972 0.353349 0.547758 0.897567
2025-12-28 0.070130 0.103313 0.153471 0.237429 0.379875 0.622416 1.091712
2026-01-04 0.064300 0.097555 0.149667 0.240581 0.402523 0.694203 1.298356
2026-01-11 0.059459 0.092650 0.146398 0.243810 0.425385 0.770297 1.533181
2026-01-18 0.055876 0.089292 0.145119 0.250072 0.454532 0.863816 1.830723
2026-01-25 0.051922 0.084829 0.141335 0.251082 0.473528 0.940591 2.113448
2026-02-01 0.048299 0.080522 0.137270 0.250866 0.489829 1.014807 2.413002
2026-02-08 0.044795 0.076057 0.132385 0.248294 0.500618 1.078843 2.707102
2026-02-15 0.041411 0.071542 0.127034 0.244293 0.508187 1.138509 3.014846
2026-02-22 0.039569 0.069698 0.126564 0.250382 0.539803 1.264930 3.568724
2026-03-01 0.036801 0.065838 0.121736 0.246446 0.547148 1.330958 3.961563
2026-03-08 0.034854 0.063375 0.119424 0.247721 0.567445 1.437031 4.535371
2026-03-15 0.032949 0.060819 0.116648 0.247544 0.584055 1.537153 5.135609
2026-03-22 0.031761 0.059583 0.116486 0.253431 0.617738 1.697091 6.047858
2026-03-29 0.030450 0.057975 0.115357 0.256832 0.645390 1.846558 7.002350
2026-04-05 0.029245 0.056482 0.114320 0.260316 0.674047 2.008123 8.109411
2026-04-12 0.028369 0.055605 0.114559 0.267076 0.713773 2.220316 9.600835
2026-04-19 0.027149 0.053888 0.112718 0.268165 0.736641 2.380029 10.939846
2026-04-26 0.025931 0.052077 0.110490 0.267932 0.755438 2.531182 12.348447